National Academy of Agricultural Sciences (NAAS)
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PRINT ISSN : 2319-7692
Online ISSN : 2319-7706 Issues : 12 per year Publisher : Excellent Publishers Email : editorijcmas@gmail.com submit@ijcmas.com Editor-in-chief: Dr.M.Prakash Index Copernicus ICV 2018: 95.39 NAAS RATING 2020: 5.38 |
The shea value chain in Northern Togo, a primary source of income for many rural households, faces intensifying climate hazards whose perceived impacts remain poorly documented. This study analyzes stakeholders' perceptions of climate change, its impacts, and their adaptation strategies. A mixed-methods approach combining 274 individual surveys and 8 focus group discussions was carried out between October and December 2025 in eight prefectures of the Savanes and Kara regions. Climate change is perceived by 99.27% of stakeholders, with strong spatial heterogeneity in risks: irregular rainfall in Dankpen (93.75%), bushfires in Doufelgou (94%), and strong winds in Cinkassé (65.96%). This heterogeneity reflects local geographic exposure, prefecture being statistically associated with perceived risk (χ² = 200.4; p < 0.001; Cramér's V = 0.494), with no effect of sex, education, or experience. Marked phenological disturbances are reported, with flower abortion affecting 18.60% to 100% of respondents depending on the prefecture. An average perceived decline of 37.6% in nut production over the past 10 years was reported, varying by prefecture (Kruskal-Wallis, p = 0.028, ε² = 0.066), though this decline cannot be attributed solely to climate change, as other local factors may also contribute. Current adaptation strategies, whether structural or ritual, show low-to-moderate perceived effectiveness, pointing to a qualitative gap with the intensity of perceived risks that this study documents descriptively. These findings call for targeted adaptation policies that integrate local knowledge with scientific approaches.
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